View Single Post
  #8  
Old 06-10-2005, 05:45 PM
topspin topspin is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 737
Default Re: Stupid chasing or good agressive play?

[ QUOTE ]
Turn play is close. Pumping draws on the turn is rare because usually there's not enough people to warrant any value. If there's ever a time to do it, it's now, I suppose; I'd put you at about 2:1 to come in by the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

That's 15 outs and assumes that all of our straight outs are good. If a 9 falls, the board is 5789J and we'll lose to a T a non-negligible amount of time. We also split more often than usual since we only have a 1-card straight draw.

I'm figuring 9 clean outs for the flush, and another 3 outs or so for the straight, which gives him 26% equity or 1:3 odds. It could be argued that it's a % or two higher, but I think that's the right ball park.
Reply With Quote