Re: Stupid chasing or good agressive play?
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Turn play is close. Pumping draws on the turn is rare because usually there's not enough people to warrant any value. If there's ever a time to do it, it's now, I suppose; I'd put you at about 2:1 to come in by the river.
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That's 15 outs and assumes that all of our straight outs are good. If a 9 falls, the board is 5789J and we'll lose to a T a non-negligible amount of time. We also split more often than usual since we only have a 1-card straight draw.
I'm figuring 9 clean outs for the flush, and another 3 outs or so for the straight, which gives him 26% equity or 1:3 odds. It could be argued that it's a % or two higher, but I think that's the right ball park.
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