Thread: Weird $215 hand
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Old 06-10-2005, 10:40 AM
schwza schwza is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2003
Posts: 113
Default Re: Weird $215 hand

i think you're overestimating when you say you'll pick up the pot 1/3 of the time (but to be fair, i play at the 33) against 6 opponents. i think betting is bad, but probably not horrible.

it seems to me the odds are very good someone has a set. that puts your equity around 33%. i haven't done the icm, but i'm guessing with pot odds that makes it barely a call. and if someone does have the nut flush draw, it's a disaster to call. there's really nothing utg can have except a set, the nut flush draw, or maybe 7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. i think it's a fold, but i'd be curious to see the icm numbers on getting in against a set and top pair.
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