[polarbear]

Here's something you can test:

The probability of flopping a set if you have a pocket pair, and there was a flop. You only need to look at your own hands.

Sure, there's the small effect of the deck being ace rich if everyone folds and you have AA, etc, but the results should be fairly accurate.

For some reason it seems like there's a better chance of flopping a set online than in live play, why, I have no idea.