[salloch]

Neat hand.

You could be up against AK, AQ, AT, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, KQ taking KQ out of the mix that's 66 hands.

Or you could be up against AJ, JJ, KJ, QJ, JT, J9, or J8 taking J8 out of the mix leaves 86 hands.

If you assume there's a 10% chance he's bluffing, that makes you a 1.2 - 1 dog just on the above analysis.

The pot is offering you 2 - 1, so this argues for a call, (or a push?)

But you might have 13 outs as well, 3 J, 1 A, 3 K, 3 Q, 3 T. That will halve the pot, or give you the nuts (or very close to it).

I'm not sure if a call or a push is correct here, but can it really be correct to fold?

BTW, when I read the post, my first thought was "fold, he has a jack". And that's probably what I would have done.

Is this take correct, or am I making a *huge* mistake thinking he might have KK, QQ, etc...

Thanks for and interesting AA post!

-salloch