[Carl_William]

Dear David,

You posted”

“I asked some of the best players in the world this question and got surprisingly disparite answers.

The game is 100-200 Eight or Better. Twenty five dollar ante. Twenty five dollar bring in. Expert opponents. Eight handed game.

You are offered the following proposition. You will be dealt the 763 all clubs with the seven as your "upcard". …”

An interesting post with lots of responses…. Lots of opinions – interesting, I don’t know…. We will never know the truth unless....

One way to get a better answer to your quiz would be to do an experiment. Gather 8 (including yourself) of the best players and play this game you mentioned in the quiz. A good forum would be to rotate the “763 clubs” to each player for one round (8 deals), and agree to play 192 deals. Each player would have a round of “763 clubs” eight times during the session – resulting in a fair shake for each player. Eight rounds would also give each player a little learning curve time to adjust to the situation. Data (statictics) would be kept for each player: how he/she did during the eight times she/he held the “763 clubs,” and how they did for the 192 deals. Then you could report the results to the 2+2 forum and also in a published article. You could tabulate the 2+2 responses to your quiz, and then compare them with the lab experiment game conducted with these best players.

The results would be very interesting and fun to read.