Re: More post-defense
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Getting 8:1 with two overcards I think I'd like to continue. So I think raising to drive out the SB and get it heads up with the thief is a good idea.
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The problem here is you're getting 8:1 to call, but only 5 to 1 if you raise, SB folds, and BB calls. You've got about a 1 in 7 chance of improving on the turn, and even if you improve, you don't know if your hand is any good. Plus the fact that MP2 might 3-bet and really screw up your odds.
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That's not the way you should be looking at this. It's 1 SB to call plus 1 or 2 SB to drive out the small blind. The question is whether it's worth 11-22% of the pot to get this thing heads up (plus whatever other benefits there are with a raise).
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