Answer
I have located the website and it provides an Excel program which, as it turns out, is based on a BASIC program, rather than a closed formula as I thought. I plugged into the Excel n=250 , X=3 , P(1)= 1/221 = 0.0045248868, and the result was 0.00002287224378960670 or 0.002%.
That seems to be the probability of seeing at least 1 streak of at least 3 Aces in a row in the next 250 hands --- courtesy of ETFan, BJ expert and creator of the program.
I hope I haven't made any errors, especially after the decimal point. [img]/forums/images/icons/tongue.gif[/img]
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