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Old 06-01-2005, 02:19 AM
Jordan Olsommer Jordan Olsommer is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 792
Default Re: Finally got a Royal Flush lol,

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The guy has four outs to fill up, and would be getting 4.5-to-1 on his money. The most he can milk out of the pot is 8.5 (unless you want to assume that the third person goes along for the ride and caps the river as well with god-knows-what), so not even the implied odds give him the right price to fill up.


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Do you really think your opponents are going through this thought process?

People call with hopeless hands all the time.

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Yes, but with four clubs on board, the only hand someone's going to call with (besides a small club of their own) is three of a kind or possibly two pair, in order to make a full house.

If you bet on the turn, 9 times out of 10 everybody folds and you win 0 bets.

If you check on the turn, bet on the river, you win 1 bet from the table sheriff (because as prone as people are to call with hopeless hands even though they see four clubs, they are way more prone to "keep you honest" at low-limit) at least - that's not counting the times when someone else has a club and your check on the turn convinces them that their baby-flush is best, or when someone actually does fill up and they're going to cap it on the river because they think you only have a flush and they're going to extract as many bets from you as they can.

So it seems to me that it's a simple choice between winning either 0 bets nearly all of the time, or at least 1 bet nearly all of the time and more bets than that some of the time.
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