Re: 1st post including basic PP 10+1 hand
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That hand is the perfect illustration for why you should be overly tight in levels 1-2 (and 3 to some extent).
Despite you not making any bad decisions in the hand, you lost almost 1/5 of your stack.
I would fold preflop. Your ace is next to worthless and playing simply for flush value is a sure way to bleed chips.
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Yes, now I'd fold that preflop too, but in the spirit of this board, let's say that the preflop call was a missclick.
What's the best flop action?
To make it easy, let's say that there's 30% chance that there's Jack out and only Jack will call if I push
70/100 - I win 245 chip
30/100 - I get called and win 880 chips 9/100, lose 675 chips 21/100 times
+17150
+7920
-14175
With these guesses pushing would be +EV (+109 chips)
Better than folding, and probably better than calling too.
The real problem is, I don't know how to make good guesses/estimates in these kind of situations.
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