Thread: a pair?
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Old 05-25-2005, 09:28 AM
BruceZ BruceZ is offline
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Default Re: a pair?

[ QUOTE ]
in ken warrens book, he says that the probability of flopping an A or a K with AK is 26.7%. in Matthew Hilger's book, he says its 32%. which book is wrong?
thanks
V

[/ QUOTE ]

1 - 44*43*42/(50*49*48) = 32.4%.

That's for flopping at least 1 A or K. If you wanted exactly 1, that would be 6*C(44,2)/C(50,3) = 28.960%.

I couldn't find your Warren quote, but in his Winner's Guide to Texas Hold'em, 1997 edition, in the chapter "Hold'em Odds", section "Basic Odds for the Flop", p. 198, he states that when your hand is not a pair, you will flop one of your hole cards 26.939% of the time. That is incorrect.
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