[DougOzzzz]

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To do a comparison, I tested the 43 teams that started the season 48-34 since 1960 and summed their Wins and losses over the rest of the season.

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.585 is damn good. And looked at over the 92 games from the start it's .630, which is damn damn good. A lot of it has to do with scheduling. Also we've seen teams like this year's white sox jump out of the box and struggle to play .500 the rest of the year -- and not been surprised by that.

Which is a long way to say, I'm not sure that the hard analysis of data gets you much. I look at the roster. The Yankees' roster has several problems in my opinion which I've alluded to elsewhere. I think they'll be competetive, and while they could win that division, I don't think they will. In any case, they've been on a good run, and hats off to them.

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I picked 48-34 because it was closest to the average record of each team after they won 10 games in a row (actually, 49-35 would have been slightly more accurate). The whole point of this analysis was to test the theory that teams that are currently on hot streaks tend to outperform other teams with equivalent records the rest of the season.

But yeah, I agree with everything else you said. Certainly there are alot of factors involved when projecting a team's W-L record at the end of the season. I just don't believe that a current streak is much of a factor, if any, and the data supports that.