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Old 05-19-2005, 11:10 PM
The13atman The13atman is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Madison, WI
Posts: 138
Default Re: Very Simple Projected Runs scored Formula

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So what I do is just look at number of occurances. How many times has the home team gone over or under the predicted number at home and how many times has the road team gone over or under the predicted number on the road. If the number of occurances, both for home and away teams, drifts significantly enough away from 50% and there is no pitching surprise I have a bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yep, this is much more reliable.
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