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Old 05-19-2005, 01:50 AM
ilya ilya is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: Party Poker
Posts: 460
Default Re: A hand from tonight\'s Pacific 2+2 tourney

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Raise, fold to a push.

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How much are you raising?

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To 1000

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Well, that was pretty much exactly what I raised... I figured raising smaller is dangerous because I'm asking to be pushed off my hand. 1000 makes it pretty clear I'm serious, and if he comes over the top I can fold. But then I ran into what I think is the flaw in my plan...

edit: er, my math sucks. oops. Odds weren't as good as I was thinking. But at 4:1, the 12% of the time I suck out to an overpair combined with x% of the time he's semi-bluffing makes this a painful fold at that point.

I think Durron's point about reraising preflop makes it easier and cheaper to get away from this hand.

He flipped over JJ, and of course I proceeded to suck out on the turn [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

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Yeah, I remember the hand...I'm sleepyhollow. I think the thing about raising to 1000 is that you don't really have to worry that he may be semi-bluffing if he re-raises all-in: he has to figure you'll call. So folding shouldn't be all that painful.
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