Re: Almost FT, A7o
First off, it's not like this is a weird flop that there's three ways to play or anything. This is a question with a clear answer; there's definitely only one correct choice to make and generally, when the instincts of someone like MLG say that is a fold, it's a fold.
Having said that, the way you'd do the math is to run an ICM calc the same way that I eyeballed/someone did on strassa's AQ SB post a few days ago. That hand turned out to turn on whether AQ was an under 60% favorite. In this hand, you have a smaller stack, but the payouts are steeper (because you haven't hit 9 yet) and there are more people, so I'm making an educated guess that you need around the same 60%, give or take 2-3%, to call. A7o is not there; A9o might be if he's pushing any two, etc.
Give us the exact payouts, number of entries and starting chips, or run the ICM yourself. It'll almost certainly say 'fold'.
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