Re: Odds on hitting 4 flush?
I think the first part of his statement was implying what were the odds of them hitting a 4 flush versus his pocket aces. If that was the question then my answer is right.
If he wants to know what the probability of hitting a 4 flush if he only knows his hand, then your answer is right.
But actually, both answers need to be multiplied by 2 becuase you can make 2 flushes. so
If you hold AA and your opponent has 2 offsuit cards of different suits from your AA, then the probability of him making a 4 flush is
[C(12,4) * C(36,1) / C(48,5)* 2] * 100 ~ 2.08%
If you hold 2 offsuit cards then the probability of hitting a 4 flush is
[ C(12,4) * C(38,1) ] / C(50,5) * 2 = 0.0178 = 1.78%
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