Thread: Giacomo?
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Old 05-08-2005, 01:16 AM
Wintermute Wintermute is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 612
Default Re: Giacomo?

If you buy every possible $2 superfecta in a 20-horse field, it should cost:

$2 * 20 * 19 * 18 * 17 = $100k, give or take a few thou.

So it seems to me, if you have a crapload of money, this isn't a horrible bet... if a long longshot wins once in 15 years, you break even-ish. The only time you lose is when the favorites all come through?

Am I missing something or do others agree with this analysis?

BTW, I got raped this year's derby. WTF is this 50:1 longshot [censored].
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