Yesterday: 0-2 -2.6
Year To Date: 2-2 -0.6
Both Pujols and Guillen failed to get a hit. Guillen was pulled after 3 PAs for a pinch runner - guess my spreadsheet wasn't prepared for that. He needed just a single to win the bet.
Anyways, another somewhat rushed day. Here's the table:
Total Bases 05/07/05 .
PECOTA seems all over Guillen over Alfonzo (again). So I'll trust it - he hits higher up in the order than Alfonzo and he's on the road so he should theoretically get more PAs. Statistically, Guillen has a nice edge. Last season, Guillen hit .294 with a .500 slugging average, Alfonzo only hit .289 with a .407 slugging. Alfonzo has been "hot" this year with a .337 average, but the ISO is similar to last year and a career .289 hitter for 10 seasons whose never hit above .315 is just not likely to keep it up. Given an extra half base and -150 line with likely more PAs, I can't fault the system for seeing an edge in Guillen.
Other play is Dmitri Young (+0.5, -130) over Vladimir Guerrero. The spreadsheet sees a small edge - but to add to it, Young has hit quite a bit better against Rightys in his career.