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Old 05-04-2005, 11:55 AM
Tilt Tilt is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 224
Default Re: Should i lay down AKs here?

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[ QUOTE ]
Easy fold.

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Easy? I don't think so. UTG could have anything. UTG+1 has a hand, which 'could' be AA or KK (in which case you lose) or could be any number of other hands, in which case you're essentially even money or better against him. The extra chips in the pot from UTG make this worth thinking about.

My gut tells me I fold this most of the time, but unless I have more sense of the table than I can get from this post, I don't say 'easy'.

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Its extremely easy. What are you hoping for? This?

As Ks 481346 35.12 845419 61.68 43989 3.21 0.366
3c 3h 540743 39.45 823024 60.04 6987 0.51 0.396
Ah Qh 304676 22.23 1022089 74.56 43989 3.21 0.237

Or this?

As Ks 527768 38.50 838719 61.19 4267 0.31 0.386
3c 3h 239959 17.51 1126528 82.18 4267 0.31 0.176
Jd Jh 598760 43.68 767727 56.01 4267 0.31 0.438

Or I guess you are PRAYING for this?

As Ks 964427 70.36 329244 24.02 77083 5.62 0.731
Kd Qh 100225 7.31 1249043 91.12 21486 1.57 0.080
Qc Ad 221947 16.19 1071936 78.20 76871 5.61 0.189

Why take a decent stack at this point in the game and throw it away with AK in a three way? Why? Makes no sense at all to me. Even your best case scenarios give you a roughly 30% suckout risk. Your worst case scenarios have you leaving the table 80% of the time +. I don't think this is even close.
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