Gutshot/flush draw against the only stack > me?
$50 multi with 180 entrants, down to 106. Average stack is about 1700. I'm sitting well with 3.1k. MP is table leader with 5k and has been playing pretty loose. Playing Axo from EP and overbetting the pot with A high against shortstacks. No particular read on anyone else involved.
Blinds 30/60
UTG (1.5k) calls, MP (5.1k) calls, I'm (3.1k) on button with 6d 5d and call, SB folds, BB (1k) checks.
Flop 3d 7d Ks.
Checked to MP who bets 350. I call. BB pushes making it 1k. Folded to MP who pushes putting me all-in.
Can someone please check my math here? I'm getting 4370:2750 or 1.58:1. I'll hit 45% of the time (35/47)(34/46)=.55, so I'm a 1.2:1 dog and I'm getting 1.58:1 on my money. Since I'm sure I'm not the best person in this tourney, I don't want to pass up any move that is only slightly +EV, so I should call, right?
Thanks.
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