Why Am I So Results Driven?
changed over from UB to Party about 5 days ago
i started off on track winning about 10BB/100hands (no limit) but then took a downswing and barely stayed above breakeven for about 5K hands, i was pretty sure it was bad luck
during this time i began to question my abilities and begin to think that maybe my style is no good at Party and I really am just a break even player
now just recently i hit an upswing and my results are coming much closer to what i expected (about 9BB/100hands) and now feel overconfident, like it's only a matter of time before i'm playing about 4 limits higher than my current limit
so here's the thing, i know the math, i understand the variance (for me about 4BB/100hands after 7K hands) but my confidence in my own abilities still waxes and wanes over near meaningless numbers
and since having confidence is needed to play well, this effect can amplify my swings, increasing my variance
do any of you guys have similar problems? any tips to help steady myself?
|