Re: Great analysis.... Further action......
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you have to call 1155. the total pot will be 6210 if you call, so you have to win 18.6% to make it breakeven. you're about 8% against QQ+ and 75% against AK. ignoring TT and other garbage, you're 18% to win if he has QQ+ 85% and AK 15%. i think you're looking at a big pair 90% here (i think AK almost always gives up), so it's a fold.
instead of raising the flop, how about a call (and then fold the turn)? you'd be giving a free 6 outer to AK, but you'd be saving a lot of chips against QQ+. you also risk getting moved off the best hand, but villain would have to commit his stack to fire a second barrel.
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I agree you have to call.
Also, level 2+3 thinking. I know what I have.
What does he have?
What does he think I have?
If you study the hand, my action screams monster, or Flush draw.
If he puts me on flush draw, he played it correctly w/ less than AA-QQ as stated.
Any thoughts?
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