Re: Post flop profit maximization. (Flush draw comes through)
I like it G, i do. I dont like Josh's idea of leading the flop because a raise will isolate and be counter productive. For everyone suggesting to bet the flop into the raise, I will remind u that Bunky's hand has NO showdown value. None. The really interesting discussion is an overcall vs. a raise on the river.
Well the way I see it...you are guaranteed to get a call from a Q, CO most likely has it. So that is +1bb for sure.
UTG really looks like he is on a str8 draw and will not call 2 cold with anything worse, if he is on a busted draw he wont call even 1. He might pay off w/a J. So lets say he calls 1 bet 30% of the time, but 2 about 2% or in other words never.
MP, I have no idea what the hell he has. Or what that OOP river bet means, but I assume he is testing his J and will pay off to a raise a good portion of the time.
So if you raise, you will get an extra +2BB. If you call you will get an extra +1 bb 30% of the time.
Its a clear raise.
|