Re: Jacks on the bubble +1
Just for kicks, I did an ICM analysis assuming UTG calls.
It showed I needed to win about 42% of the time. Given my guestimate of their ranges, this is almost right about how often JJ will stand up.
If there is any chance that UTG might let his hand go, this becomes a clear call.
If the blinds weren't so big I would have layed it down without giving it a second thought. But the overlay was so was so big for my Jacks I decided to go with my gut (which turned out to be pretty close).
|