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Old 04-19-2005, 08:35 AM
jaxUp jaxUp is offline
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Default Re: A really bad play?

[ QUOTE ]
really, jaxup, this is great? i think i can see the JTs calling with so many along, but i don't understand how the flop is fine. i would think JTs strength is in its straight and flush possibilities- none of which come on the flop. you have a pair of Ts with a Jack kicker.

i know there are a lot of people, but MP2 bets into preflop cappers (set?, AT?), and CO keeps betting (AA-JJ). sure hero gets lucky on river, but why is the flop okay?

[/ QUOTE ]

Sorry for the tardy reply...I was never commenting on postflop play. Here's what I think of the flop:

well, we have TPMK and are basically certain we're behind, probably to at least 1 overpair and one TP+ hand. The thing is, even if it gets capped 4-ways here, which it looks like it will, we will still be getting 10:1 on calling 4 cold. Not calling the 2 getting 17:1 (or something absurdly great) on what looks like a 3.5 outer would probably be a slightly losing play. I think we need to call here. Unfortunately it gets capped behind, but I have a really hard time finding a fold on this flop, given the pot size.

That being said, I think it's pretty close, and I'm sure a compelling argument can be made for a fold. Time for bed now though, I'll check it out in the uh...night, when I wake up.
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