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Old 04-18-2005, 06:09 PM
JC_Saves JC_Saves is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 309
Default Re: Overcards heads up CRed on the flop

(blind response)

For the hand you have listed there:
Calling the bet on the flop was wrong I think.

I don't know why you folded to the bet on the turn. Your hand went from 6 outs to 10 outs 4 Q's. with 10 outs you are 22% to hit on the river. the pot is giving your perfect odds to draw out, not to mention your implied odds on the river. Easy call.

We have to continually reevaluate hands and assign them relative value along the way. This hand was not good on the flop, but on the turn it became playable for the river.


The hypothetical situation:

I think this is a fold if you are not going to the river. You basically have 6 outs for your overcards, given a ragged board so you are 1-(41/47)= 13% chance to improve on the turn.

This is a fold situation given you are folding to a turn bet unimproved and the pot odds are not enough. Negative EV play
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