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Old 04-07-2005, 01:33 AM
Scuba Chuck Scuba Chuck is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: 1-table tournaments
Posts: 1,537
Default Re: OE straight draw ...

I'm thinking you could do an $EV equation for this, and find this to be +$EV to call this everytime. And in particular, when hero has such a large chip lead. Any thoughts?

Consider the following probabilities.
1. Complete bluff
2. Ax bluff
3. Villain has paired the Queen (worst case scenario)
4. Villain has paired a lower flop card, so hero has 6 more outs with the two overcards
5. Villain has 57
6. villain has lower pocket pair

And on and on. I'm pretty sure you could come out for this to be +$EV considering that it's 2:1 pot odds. Again, anymore thoughts?

Scuba
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