Re: PP 15/30 Blind Defence
Hi,
He's getting 1:8 to catch two pair, and a lot of people will check behind on the river with the over pair fearing that ace after you call the turn so you get a free showdown a lot.
I think folding here is probably out given how much money was invested.
The CR idea has merit if CO is predictable enough to only have JJ-AA to make that cap preflop. The question is do we bluff the river if we blank or do we take the free showdown? Given the pot size, I think bluffing the river after CR two streets seems like a plan that will work way more then the 10% of the time to steal this pot off of KK/QQ/JJ.
The largest error I think was preflop. you really shouldn't 3 bet this unless CO is a habitual blind stealer and if he his you need to call this down. Because 3 betting preflop and calling a 3 bet on the flop and then check/folding the turn getting 1:8 is just asking for people to run all over you.
Later,
MarkV.
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