View Single Post
  #24  
Old 03-31-2005, 07:07 AM
Ace_Ren Ace_Ren is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 26
Default Re: do some people really have better luck?(rant... be prepared)

The prerequisite to someone sucking out is that they must first be in a losing situation.

If you are a good player, your opponents are going to be sucking out on you a lot more than you will suck out on them. That's the nature of luck, it favors the bad player because the bad player relies upon it more. However, even over a pretty short run, the money gained from constantly being in 70/30 situations will show itself.

As far as coinflip situations, it's very possible that you tend to put yourself on the bad end of the coinflip. This is most often achieved by laying down the small and mid pocket pairs while calling with the two big cards.

It makes sense: You are a good player, so you know that your mid pocket pair is either about 50/50 or is a huge dog. So you lay it down to a big raise. On the flip side, you know that your AK is about 50/50 with anything other than AA or KK and has a big advantage over non-pairs, so you call. However, you are constantly at a 55/45 situation against you, so you'll end up losing the 'coinflips' greater than 50% of the time.

Pokerstove:
Hand 1: 44.7032 % [ 00.45 00.00 ] { AKs, AKo }
Hand 2: 55.2968 % [ 00.55 00.00 ] { QQ-77 }

The coinflips aren't exactly coinflips.
Reply With Quote