Re: Decision Time
It sounds like you put in about $4 preflop, and are now facing a bet of about $12-13. You have about $42 in your stack, so there is essentially one action left after this bet. If you reraise, it's going to be all-in or close to it, and if you call, his next bet will set you in.
If you raise, he's likely to fold KK and QQ, the two most likely hands you beat right now. He'll also fold things like JJ, TT, KQs, or other unlikely hands. He'll obviously call with a set, especially the highly feared AA. Of course, there is a pretty reasonable chance he also has AK, but we can ignore that, since it's a push.
I say just call. And hesitate a while before doing so. Let him hope that his KK is beating your JJ or some such. If you're beat, you're going to lose your stack anyway, so you might as well let him bluff with the worst hand when he does hold it. If he checks the turn, check also, so he might bluff the river. If he checks the river or bets you less than all-in, you probably want to go all-in yourself.
Later, Greg Raymer (FossilMan)
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