Re: AT fold
This hand makes my head hurt. You need about 3 outs to breakeven (more? less?). You have 3 outs, but it's not 3, because somebody else may have a nonsuited 10, so let's call it 2.5 outs. You'll have to chop sometimes, so let's call it 1.5 outs. You need to be ahead and stay ahead 3.33% of the time to breakeven for 1BB, but the river will cost you another, so it's say 5%.
You can hope for 2 opponents on flush draws, which leaves 1 OESD and an ace, and you have to hope the OESD is the wrong side, which is less likely. I think you may be ahead here more than you think, but that's still not too much, and if there are 2 flush draws out, 1/4 to 1/3 of the deck will hurt you. As I said before it'll cost you 2 BB to find out. I do think you're ahead and will stay ahead about 5% of the time, but I dunno', all this convoluted logic just to break even? I say fold, unless there is anything at all in any of your opponents (would cold-call with weak ace, etc), to make you stay in.
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