View Single Post
  #10  
Old 03-23-2005, 03:22 PM
KowCiller KowCiller is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 141
Default Re: A Value Bet Too Thin? Part 2

Lets see, if my math is correct, you've got to put in $30 more to win $170 or so.

Grab a kleenex, listen to the violin music in the background, and click the call button.

Call me a fish but for $30 I think you're ahead of something like pocket 7s, 67s, or a pure bluff often enough to make this crying call.

Harrington mentions in his book that on any hand, the chance a player is bluffing is at least 10%. I think villian will have some sort of busted straight draw or lower pair at least another 10% of the time... so if you take those two assumptions, you're ahead 20% of the time making this call profitable.

KoW
Reply With Quote