Thread: Rock Cracking
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Old 03-22-2005, 06:42 PM
Vern Vern is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 46
Default Re: Rock Cracking

[ QUOTE ]
Do you have his WtSD stat? I have playerview overlaying that also when I play. It comes in really useful.

I think everyone's dismissing a check as a viable option here. If the guy is going to fold QQ to a bet on the turn, but will call one more bet on the river with it, then checking the turn might be worth looking at.

Anyway, if his WtSD is high, then I would continue to bet, if his WtSD is really low, It might be worth looking into check/raising or (if it gets checked through), checking, and betting the river.

Your read is really specific and really strong here, if he's got AK or AA, he's going to bet when checked too. We can then check/raise, getting some value (he had AK twice as often as AA, right?).

So if you're sure he'll fold QQ on the turn, but might call a bet on the river, I think a check is in order. If you think he might call you down with QQ, bet it.

From the information you gave, I would bet, but if you had more information that you didn't tell us, then a check might work.

[/ QUOTE ]

I apologize for being unclear.

I don't see him capping with AKo, maybe, but unlikely, so if he gives me action on the turn I think there are only 4 hands that he has, AA(3) or AKs(1) [A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] is the only AKs left unaccounted for]

I have his Went To SD at ~10%, Won at SD >90%

I don't think there is a chance in the world that he will call me down with QQ when there is an Ace and King on the board and a pre-flop aggressor leading into the preflop capper on both the flop and turn. Especially when his telltale move is to get hyper aggressive on the flop then check/call down and all he did was call the flop. This makes me think even less AKs because the only hands he caps with and calls the flop might be AA and defintely QQ.

FYI My Playerview has VP$IP/PFR/TOTHands above the players name and AFAF/WtSD/W$aSD below.

Vern
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