Took a bit of a beating on this one, and would like to know just how far off base my thinking was.
Table as a whole has been tight (29% seeing flop on stats page). Villain has only been at table a couple orbits, and hasn't called attention to himself with any brilliant or stupid plays.
Absolute Poker 1/2 Hold'em (8 handed)
converter
Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
Hero calls, <font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">
4 folds</font>, Hero calls, MP1 calls.
Some people like to open-raise 99. I havent had luck with that in early position. Didn't seem like reraising would get MP1 out.
Flop: (7.50 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, Hero calls, MP1 calls.
Even after the raise should I bet this flop? What information can I gain by doing that? It's not like Villain is going to fold....
Felt I had to call. I am behind TT, JJ, KK, AA, AQ (36 hands) but ahead of AK and AJ (32) which most people are raising, and 88/77/ATs might be being raised too.
Turn: (5.25 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, Hero calls, MP1 folds.
Same argument as last time. I am still behind queens and high pairs. He's less likely to still be betting an AK or AJ but I felt he could be one time in five.
River: (7.25 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, Hero calls.
OK, the call on the river was probably stupid. I don't really believe there's a 1 in 8 chance he is STILL coming on hard with ace-high.