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What is the odds of hitting a monster with suited connectors on the flop/by the river.
ie: Flopping a flush draw, straight draw, 2 pair, trips, boat, quads. (I am sure the last 3 are pretty slim).
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A good site:
pre-flop odds calculator.
P(flush) = C(11,3)/C(50,3) = 0.008
(choose 3 of your suit from 11)
P(flush draw) = C(11,2)*39/C(50,3) = 0.109
(choose 2 of your suit and one of the other 39)
P(full house) = 2*3*C(3,2)/C(50,3) = 0.0009
(2 ways, 3 choices for pr, C(3,2) for trips)
P(4 of a kind) = 2/C(50,3) = 0.0001
(2 ways)
For some reason, I can't figure out these:
P(2 pr) = 3*3*44/C(50,3) = 0.020
I'm thinking 3 of each of your hole cards, then 44 for the 3rd card, but the answer is different than the calculator.
P(trips) = 2*C(3,2)*44/C(50,3) = 0.013
Here I'm thinking 2 choices for the trips, then C(3,2) ways to pick two of them, and then 44 choices for the 3rd card. Again, it's different than the calculator.
P(straight) = ?
P(OESD) = ?
I should know this stuff, but my head hurts. Does anyone know what I'm missing?