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Old 12-29-2002, 05:50 AM
David Ottosen David Ottosen is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: SJ, Costa Rica
Posts: 199
Default Re: Bringing down the house

Both of you don't understand how bad certain plays are. Obviously I don't mean players are making mistakes that will lead to them losing 100% of the time.

I'd estimate the advantage the casino holds over the average player to be something in the neighbourhood of 60%. Not 51-52%.

Take an average blackjack player who:
1) Often takes insurance.
2) Doesn't double 11 vs 10 or Ace.
3) Doesn't hit 16 vs 10 (and doesn't surrender).
4) Doesn't hit soft 18 vs 10.
5) Bets prop bets such as triple 7's.
6) Doesn't double down soft hands vs 6 or 5.
7) Only makes about half the correct splits.

This describes about 99.9% of the people I see playing blackjack. You think these people are playing to a 2% disadvantage?

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