Thread: Bird Flu
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Old 02-23-2005, 11:39 PM
uuDevil uuDevil is offline
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Default Re: Bird Flu

[ QUOTE ]
This is not a pure math question.

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Good point.

Thing is, we could say that about any application of math to an actual physical phenomenon. Questions involving the distribution of cards dealt or coins flipped aren't really pure math questions either, but I wouldn't argue that "I'm due for pocket aces." At least not around here. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

It appears to me that Dr. Omi is appealing to probability to argue that we are more likely to see this pandemic occur now than we were in the past. So whatever the underlying reality, I don't think his argument holds water. Or am I missing something?
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