[Chris Daddy Cool]

your first mistake is 3-betting his turn checkraise.

given the way the hand is played here, you're dead against 3 sets of hands here, JJ,66,55 and drawing to 2 outs agaisnt AA and drawing to 5 outs against KK or QQ, and chopping with A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] type hand. the problem is hwat kind of hands will the villian have after capping?

JJ - 1 combination
66 - 3 combos
55 - 3 combos
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7 combos, 0 outs

AA - 2 combos, 2 outs
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2 combos, 4 outs.

KK - 6 combos, 5 outs
QQ - 6 combos, 4 outs
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12 combos, 54 combos

21 total combos - 58 outs for a weighted average of 2.76 outs, so getting 11.7-1 on your call, you're not getting enough odds to spike here.

note though that you cannot simply use bayes here because you must often readjust and reassign their hands based on the action and situation. for example, there are many players who would not cap AA-QQ preflop for deception purposes to try to extract more postflop. however, oftne times they will become too aggro by overrepresenting their hands postflop after underrepresenting it preflop. and dont' forget that a hand like A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] in the hands of an aggressive player could easily play a hand this way too.

in short you shouldn't have to make this cap fold because you should have just called down the turn c/r. but given that you didn't and decided to cap anyways, you probably made a good fold.