[JoshuaD]

[ QUOTE ]

I'm pretty damned sure he doesn't have JJ, TT, or 99.

Since you have to call a raise, you have to be good here 66% of the time. With the weighed hands being KK (6) and QQ (3), I think that's exactly what you need: a ratio of 2:1 that he'll call with rather than raise. There's even a small/slim possibility that he doesn't raise QQ on the river, but I doubt it.

Rob

[/ QUOTE ]

If you're breaking even with a bet when the only range of hands he has is KK and QQ, why bet if there's even a 0.0001% chance that he's got one of the other hands beating you?

Are there any hands he has other than these big PP's that we're beating?

And there's another mistake we're making: Assuming villian will call here with KK. There are NO hands he's beating here with it, and considering he's a TAG, there's a chance he'll fold it. Add that to the mix, and it's a definite check through.