[TheBusiness]

I agree that it is not an easy decision to fold this on the flop, because the pot is sizeable, but a few minor objections to your argument swing me to the fold on the flop camp. 1) There are technically only 6.5 big bets in the pot when hero has to act on the flop, not 7.5. You can't count Hero or the big blind's calls until after flop action is complete. 2) Hero has to dodge a club, or at least be more cautious if a club hits on either the turn or the river. 3) You have to consider the likelihood that UTG+1 is on AK, a real possibility given the way he has bet so far, which means Hero's supposed 4 outs may only end up costing him more money if they hit.