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Old 02-16-2005, 02:53 PM
btspider btspider is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 39
Default Re: bizump

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So what if you lead the flop and he doesn't raise? Then you simply keep on betting unless a K or J falls off. He's got broadways enough of the time to warrant betting, but what happens if he raises the turn? This is consistent with an Ace and its pretty hard to pull off a delay bluff like that, so you'd probably have to fold. Remember he'll only have a hand that you beat 46% of the time here and he'd have to be bluffing a good amount of times on a turn raise for you to call.

But what if you get raised on the river? this is also consistent of an A as well. However it is more likely than it would be on the turn to be a bluff imo. A missed broadway will raise the river a fair amount of time. So if you get raised on the river in this spot, he's either got you or is bluffing. Depending on confuzzed's bluffing frequency you should act accordingly, but it usually leads to folds.

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if you lead the flop/turn and are not raised, shouldn't he check-call the river to prevent or possibly induce a bluff? what worse hand will call his river bet?
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