Re: How likely is it that I\'m bad?
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and the mistakes seem pretty minor
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I REALLY REALLY doubt it.
Seriously.
Assuming that you are playing well after having just started out is not going to help your cause.
Assuming that your fluctuations of 50BB's or so in a given day somehow make that much of a difference as to whether you are a good player or not is also kind of silly.
I doubt that you can honestly know whether or not you are playing well.
Leave your party stats-box open and at least note your see-flop percentage.
I'm laying even-money that it's higher than 30%.
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