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Old 02-10-2005, 11:07 PM
BigHobo BigHobo is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
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Default Re: Would you push here?

[ QUOTE ]
Unless the initial raiser was pushing tons, I would fold this with few reservations. You are getting called 90% of the time, and are almost always going to be racing at best. The BB may have to call here also if you fold, as he will have only 870 left after this hand.

Not that tough a fold at all.

[/ QUOTE ]

I fold this hand too, but I think the chance of getting called by the min-raiser is significantly less than 90% (at least at $109) for the following reasons:

1) Raiser has put in less than 15% of his chips and still would have chip lead on the bubble with a small stack at less than $1000.
2) If the raiser were to call and lose, he would not be short stack but would be pretty close.
3) If I was raiser I would have to assume that re-raiser has a pretty damn good hand and if I'm holding something like AT or a small to mid-level pair there's a good chance I am dominated.

I would estimate the chance of a call at no more than 70%. If I were the original raiser, I'd need a pretty damn good hand to call in that situation.
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