[Wayfare]

So your contention is that he will either not realize he is far behind with the ace on board and or knowingly call a turn bet while behind drawing to what is likely two outs?

You don't think it is more likely he will call a river bet if you check the turn? If he has KK you don't think there is any chance he might put you on QQ and blocking bet the river? Or call a half pot bet on a river blank?

I completely disagree with your analysis, especially the contention that he will check/fold the river with KK-JJ. I think the rest of the board will likely agree with me.

In fact, I think betting the turn big is very poor. If he is smart he will raise you here representing AA and exploit his image to make you fold. You cannot call a large raise here.