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Old 02-02-2005, 03:56 PM
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Default Re: Flush draw on flop

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Regardless, it isn't quite as "easy" as people want to make it out to be. We're talking equity of around 30-32% here on the average, not 35%.

35% is a perfect scenario when neither player has any spades, the bettor doesn't have a set of ducks or two pair, and the caller doesn't have a flush draw.

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I agree with this. 35 percent is if you have the nut flush draw, SSH has an example of this. But in the book the draw is to the nut flush, with over cards.

Unless I am missing something, with 30 - 32 percent equity you are not even getting "your fair share" of the equity with two opponents on future bets. Maybe a free card makes the raise preferable in the end though.

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It's not the flush over flush that is a concern for your equity as much as the range of outs your opponent's hands can have.

Rob
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