View Single Post
  #8  
Old 01-22-2005, 08:04 PM
Shillx Shillx is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Frog and Peach Pub, Downtown SLO
Posts: 4,478
Default Re: Stepping in it w/ Axs

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't think there's anything he calls your river bet with that you beat, so check-calling seems better.

[/ QUOTE ]

Seems like he'd call queens or jacks if he came this far with them, but there's many more winning hands that he'll call with. Enough that check-calling still seems valid. Anyone know the mathematical justification for the river bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

Question #1: What will this guy limp-reraise with? You say that he will raise almost anything he plays preflop. Why would he limp re-raise KK?

From his play, I can think of 3 possible hands. KK, QQ and JJ. AA, TT and AK probably would have done something earlier in the hand.

There are 3 combinations of KK. There are 6 of both QQ and JJ. Therefore, it is about 4:1 that you have him beat on the river. This is an easy river bet IMO.

Brad
Reply With Quote