Re: 20-40 AJs monster draw.
I agree with you thinkin g about it a little differently. The odds of winning by hitting your hand are about 1.1 to 1 against you but you are getting 2 to 1 for every bet you get in (on the flop). It is plus EV to keep raising on the flop till the cows come home as long as you continue to get two callers. This is without even considering the chances of hitting an Ace and having it be good or the chance of getting a pair to fold even if you don't improve.
I would probably bet out on the turn but depending on how well I knew these players would consider check-raising again if I missed the turn (and if they don't bet you get a free card).
Elysium - you're as far off on this one as I've seen you.
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