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Old 01-10-2005, 08:28 PM
Gramps Gramps is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Oaktown
Posts: 124
Default Re: very shortstacked, 4 left

Don't worry about your chip odds. It's bubble/endgame/survival strategy time - pot odds don't have much relevance as a short stack.

Even if you complete and your 93s beats BB's random hand (you'll win about 43% of the time), where does that get you? Not very far. You now have 510, and if the button wins his BB, you'll still be the next one forced all-in (in your SB).

Fold. You're fighting for 3rd place and it's 20% payout. All the planets will have to align for you to get anything more. Why take a 57% chance of being eliminated when the button will be 50% or so to be eliminated in his BB?

Pretty much the only "reward" for winning with your 93s, is that for the times the button does survive his BB, you'll have a better chance of getting third still. Getting knocked out 57% of the time to do it definitely ain't worth it though.

Sucks to be a puss, but sometimes it's the best $EV play.
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