Re: Hand to Talk About
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I hear ya. Most of the time I'm firing that 3rd barrel, it's on a board where there was a flush or straight draw that doesn't come on the river.
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Your good ace is beating a busted draw. If you are out of position, I would much perfer to check and let the busted draw bluff, which it often will. He certainly isn't paying you off if you bet. With position, it's less clear since you can no longer try to induce a bluff, but I still think you get paid off by a worse hand (presumably a busted nut flush) too rarely and you aren't going to get someone to lay down a pair because he has to consider that you can be the one on the busted draw (although this may be less true with certain boards and action, as it's hard to put a preflop raiser on a baby straight draw). I really don't see this is as +ev. If your opponent is on a busted draw, this is a classic case where he isn't calling your bet unless he has you beat, and he is going to call if he does.
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