Re: AQs hits the flop when the pot is large
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Assume a set of separate situations
1) If button bets, J/K will call, and I will get a chance to double/triple bet them
2) If button checks and next card is J/K, I save myself a SB
3) If button checks and next card is not J/K, I have shown weakness on the flop, and will most likely be bet into. Now that I have been bet into, I can raise to knock out J/K drawers.
Is my logic flawed here?
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Yes, it is. Terribly so, IMO. If you think the button will bet, won't he perhaps raise? Then you DEFINITELY should bet to cut down the odds of the field when button raises. Hoping he will bet so you can 3-bet is foolish. Anyone with a gutshot will still have odds to call. This is NOT a hand you want to trap people into the pot with, because like you said yourself, anyone with a K or J has odds to call. Trap people when you have MONSTERS. On this board, your hand is not a monster.
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