Re: Help with JJ
It's a high-variance, low-EV (at best) call to try to spike a set without a sufficient stack to back it if it hits.
Ciaffone refers to the "rule of 5 and 10": if it's less than 5% of your stack to call a raise with a speculative, "I'll bust this guy if I hit" hand, then go for it; if it's more than 10% of your stack, then it's a clear fold, and in between is a gray area. I've found this a very helpful guideline.
In this case, it's 15% of his stack to call, so a hand like JJ is best played not as a drawing hand but as a big pair.
(With a short stack, a big pair is EXACTLY what you want to pick up, since you can just play it hard preflop and on the flop and give no one the odds to draw out on you with speculative hands of their own.)
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